ERCOT Daily 3-Apr-2025

Seasonally high loads despite the forecast bust.

Load and Load Forecast

Peak hourly load yesterday was 58,994 MW, 6.5% lower than yesterday’s forecast of 63,200 MW. Peak load was above the upper band of the trailing 5-year maximum load range (evening peak). The daily minimum load (morning) was above the top of the 5-year minimum load range. (The ranges average over 5 years and one week either side.)

The average daily load for yesterday was 52,440 MW versus Yesterday’s estimate of 54,150 MW. See the table below for the forward d7aily estimates.

ERCOT’s peak load forecast for today is 57,600 MW. The forecast for tomorrow is 55,100 MW. Record load is 85,559 MW from 20-Aug-2024.

For weekly averages this week ending this coming Friday 4-Apr 15Z, the average power is estimated to be 50.47 GW, down 0.52 GW from yesterday’s estimate. The verification for last week ending last Friday 28-Mar 15Z was 48.04 GW and 46.57 GW the week before.

Weather

The Dallas area temperatures head lower this weekend to the opposite side of the 20-year band. A small temperature bust yesterday which lowered loads. Today also looks lower than yesterday’s estimate. Should have seen this coming.

Coastal temperatures are normal-to-above over this week’s forecast. Temperatures turn down starting Sunday after some unsettled weather.

Today, NOAA’s 7-Day QPF shows unsettle weather Days 1-3 with most of it hitting Friday. Days 4-7 are dry.