ERCOT Daily 17-Apr-2025

Two more days of very seasonally high load before the rain starts.

Load and Load Forecast

Peak hourly load yesterday was 60,634 MW, 0.4% lower than yesterday’s forecast of 60,900 MW. Peak load was above the upper bound of the trailing 5-year maximum load range (evening peak). The daily minimum load (morning) was at the top of the 5-year minimum load range. (The ranges average over 5 years and one week either side.)

The average daily load for yesterday was 51,170 MW versus Yesterday’s estimate of 51,700 MW. See the table below for the forward daily estimates.

ERCOT’s peak load forecast for today is 63,500 MW. The forecast for tomorrow is 64,700 MW. Record load is 85,559 MW from 20-Aug-2024.

For weekly averages this week ending this coming Friday 18-Apr 15Z, the average power is estimated to be 51.49, down 0.01 GW from yesterday’s estimate. The verification for last week ending last Friday 11-Apr 15Z was 48.16 GW and 50.29 GW the week before.

Weather

The Dallas area are normal to above today and tomorrow. Rain starts Day 2 but the temperatures in the North Central region go lower Day3.

Coastal temperatures are in the average to above level for most of the forecast. There has been less of a rain threat for the coast, but today’s forecast is starting to show some.

Today, NOAA’s 7-Day QPF has most of the rain comes Days 3-7.