ERCOT Daily 13-Jun-2025

Warmup starting giving higher loads and higher renewables. ERCOT is well supplied.

Load and Load Forecast

Peak hourly load yesterday was 63,970 MW, 1.2% lower than yesterday’s forecast of 64,700 MW. Peak load was in the lower portion of the trailing 5-year maximum load range (evening peak). The daily minimum load (morning) was at the top of the 5-year minimum load range. (The ranges average over 5 years and one week either side.)

The average daily load for yesterday was 55,530 MW. Yesterday’s early estimate for yesterday’s load was 56,960 MW. See the table below for the forward daily estimates.

ERCOT’s peak load forecast for today is 73,000 MW. The forecast for tomorrow is low at 72,500 MW. Record load is 85,464 MW from 10-Aug-2023.

For weekly averages this week ending this morning Friday 13-Jun 15Z, the average power is estimated to be 61.45 GW, down 0.14 GW from yesterday’s estimate. The verification for last week ending last Friday 06-Jun 15Z was 60.51 GW and 59.61 GW the week before.

Weather

The Dallas area temperatures rise back to the middle of the 20-year band. This is not a hot pattern.

Houston and the Coast Zone busted lower again yesterday. Rain exits today and the temperatures are expected to rise back to the middle band area.

Today, NOAA’s 7-Day QPF looks much less wet over the next 7 days.

Generation

Wind supply is moderate to low this week but it now looks like a rebound at the end of the 7-Day forecast. Today wind rises in the evening.